Hurricane Milton was moving toward the west coast of Florida on Wednesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Hurricane Milton was located at latitude 25.8°N and longitude 84.3°W which put the center about 190 miles (305 km) southwest of Tampa, Florida. Milton was moving toward the northeast at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 170 m.p.h. (275 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 931 mb.
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Bonita Beach to the Mouth of the Suwanee River, Florida. The Hurricane Warning includes Tampa Bay. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from the St. Lucie/Martin County Line to Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the portion of the coast from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach, Florida. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Lake Okeechobee. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Dry Tortugas. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the portion of the coast from Ponte Vedra Beach to the Mouth of the St. Mary’s River, Florida. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the portion of the coast from St. Lucie/Martin County Line to the Martin/Palm Beach County Line, Florida.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Florida Keys and the Dry Tortugas. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Lake Okeechobee. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Flamingo to Bonita Beach, Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from the Mouth of the Suwanee River to Indian Pass, Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Flamingo to the St. Lucie/Martin County Line, Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida to Savannah River, Georgia. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the extreme Northwestern Bahamas including Grand Bahama Island, the Abacos and Bimini.
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the portion of the coast from Savannah River, Georgia to the South Santee River, South Carolina.
Hurricane Milton started to weaken gradually on Wednesday morning, but Milton was still a powerful, dangerous hurricane. An upper level trough over the southern Mississippi River Valley was producing southwesterly winds that were blowing toward the top of Milton’s circulation. Those winds were causing moderate vertical wind shear. The upper level winds were also inhibiting the upper level divergence to the west of Hurricane Milton. The wind shear was causing Hurricane Milton to weaken gradually.
Even though Hurricane Milton was weakening gradually, it was still a major hurricane. A small circular eye was present at the center of Milton’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the eastern and northern parts of Hurricane Milton. Bands in the southern and western parts of Milton’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of Milton generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the northeast of the hurricane.
Although Hurricane Milton is weakening, the circulation around Milton is getting larger. Winds to hurricane force extend out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Milton’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extend out 175 miles (280 km) from the center of Hurricane Milton.
The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Milton is 29.9. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 14.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 44.3. Hurricane Milton is similar in intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit southwest Florida in 2004. Milton is much larger than Charley was.
Hurricane Milton will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Milton will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. However, the upper level trough over the southern Mississippi River Valley will continue to cause moderate to strong vertical wind shear. The wind shear will cause Hurricane Milton to weaken gradually during the next 12 hours.
The upper level trough over the southern Mississippi River Valley will steer Hurricane Milton toward the northeast east during the next 12 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Hurricane Milton will make landfall on Wednesday night on the west coast of Florida near or just to the south of Tampa.
Even though Hurricane Milton will weaken today, Milton is still expected to be a major hurricane when it hits the west coast of Florida. Milton will bring strong gusty winds and heavy rain to the west coast of Florida. Milton will also bring strong winds and heavy rain to central Florida.
Hurricane Warnings are in effect for many of the counties in Central Florida. Those Hurricane Warnings include Orlando.
Milton will be capable of causing major damage. Heavy rains will cause floods in some locations. Widespread electricity outages are likely.
Flood Watches are in effect for much of the Florida Peninsula.
Milton will also produce a storm surge of up to 15 feet (4.5 meters) along the west coast of Florida. The highest storm surge is likely to occur along the portion of the coast just to the south of Tampa> A storm surge of 8 to 12 feet (2,4 to 3.7 meters) could occur in Tampa Bay.
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Flamingo to the Yankeetown, Florida. The Storm Surge Warning includes Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor. A Storm Surge Warning is also in effect for the portion of the coast from Sebastian Inlet, Florida to Altamaha Sound, Georgia.
A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the portion of the coast from Altamaha Sound, Georgia to Edisto Beach, South Carolina.
Thunderstorms in bands in the eastern periphery of Hurricane Milton were already producing tornadoes over South Florida. A Tornado Watch is in effect for the southern half of the Florida Peninsula.
Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Leslie intensified east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Hurricane Leslie was located at latitude 21.7°N and longitude 48.4°W which put the center about 985 miles (1585 km) east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. Leslie was moving toward the northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 985 mb.
